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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:35 am 
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Freddeh wrote:
Zinger - Insane? - Low effort posting with no NLP, though lots of people pointing it out

I was without computer access for about 5 days following my big move. I live in Ottawa now (Go Sens Go!), and unpacking is a chore that even Christmas Rumble can't motivate me to do faster. :sweat:

As for your take on my sanity... Well... I'll get to that.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 12:32 pm 
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Skystone wrote:
Zinger's list is an extremely dubious claim (though I would like him to answer dor it in person) and does not strike me as legitimate.

And as for Zinger's NLP, or lack thereof, I'd be in serious doubt of him having a list as he's claimed; however, he could be lying as town as well. Of the two I'd say Zinger's lack of a NLP combined with his claim of a list is more sus than Mongoose and his aggression.

Blah blah blah blah blah blah Zinger NLP Naughty/Nice list.

There's clearly some shenanigans going on...

Attachment:
The Last Rumble.png
The Last Rumble.png [ 33.68 KiB | Viewed 10634 times ]
.

My own sanity, when compared to my master list, no longer matches up with ANY of the known sanities. So, something happened on one or more of the nights to mess with the results. I'm also starting to wonder if someone (ie. JD) messed with my master list, because I'm starting to think that maybe there might be errors on it, based on the intel I've gathered so far.

Vote: Skystone

Just putting a vote on the sky-high stoner bird because I can't have 3 whole days go by without voting for anybody, and Sky seems as good a vote as anybody else right now. I may change that before deadline.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 4:14 pm 
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Zinger2099 wrote:
because I'm starting to think that maybe there might be errors on it

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 4:23 pm 
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Can you share more from you master list before EoD?

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 6:17 pm 
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Let's start actually playing this like a DETHY.

Everyone being forced to investigate Dusky is ultimately a huge boon for town. We know that she is town, which allows us to calibrate every supposed cop based on the results they claimed for her. Assuming for the moment that all living players are cops or scum (and ignoring Zinger's "possible sanities" column, since it is based on his alleged master list):

Skystone: paranoid/insane
Rag: paranoid/insane
Darkstar: naive/sane
KoD: sane
Zinger: cannot be a cop ("naughty" on Dusky, who is confirmed town -- meaning that Zinger must be paranoid or insane -- and yet also has a "nice" result in Darkstar)

If KoD's results are legit, then we also know that Darkstar is naive. Moreover, KoD's "naughty" on Zinger is consistent either with KoD being scum and lying or Zinger being scum. Given that Zinger's results are incompatible with his being a cop, he is the most likely candidate, so I propose that we kill Zinger. If he turns up town, we lynch KoD for lying (barring other incriminating results).

Vote: Zinger


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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 6:18 pm 
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Errr, just in case:

Vote: Zinger


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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 6:28 pm 
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The only possible mitigating factor that I can think of for Zinger is that I know, for a fact, that we did not start the game with two full sets of cops. I suspect, based on available info, that the initial role distribution was 4 cops, 4 fall-back cops, 1 whatever Dusky is, and 1 scum. In this configuration, not every player who is currently a cop was also a cop at the beginning of the game (though all players would now be cops), meaning that only the most recent investigation result is actually inviolable.

If the above is true, I would ask KoD to confirm that he did, indeed, start the game as a cop. If he did, then Zinger remains our scum candidate. If KoD did not (and is town, so admits this fact), then our scum candidate may lie elsewhere. If KoD claims that he did begin the game as a cop and Zinger also flips scum, then KoD has probably lied, in which case we (still) likely proceed by lynching KoD tomorrow.


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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 6:40 pm 
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Vote: Sky

Just because of the investigation results.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 7:18 pm 
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DaRkStAr wrote:
Can you share more from you master list before EoD?

Sure, Skystone is also Naughty on it.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 7:25 pm 
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About 3 hours remain in day.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 8:07 pm 
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I should be home in an hour. EoD won't bypass me.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:46 pm 
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@Zinger:

Upon reading that, I do recall a "terse" debate over your NLP in a Dethy. Goes to show just how much you've played with us recently.


@Sky:

We ***can't*** play this like a Dethy without making broad assumptions regarding sanity given the number of people involved. For instance, you're making assumptions that those alive makeup the standard sanities of cops without considering the dead (and what that means for those living like myself wrt to the results).

Let me focus on insane by way of example:

We have Zinger who could possibly be insane (which would indicate Dark and assuming you ignore me as sane for the moment). You and Rag both *could* be insane, but as it stands only have naughty results which indicates, likely, paranoid.

When you throw me in, you've got both Arrgh and Neon with Neon having the result that may indicate insane (if you view me as santa as opposed to scum).


So it's hardly as straightforward as a typical Dethy given there are a lot of possibilities for the results given. Plus, that's not even factoring in whether we're dealing with two scum as opposed to one given the two night kills on N1.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:00 pm 
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I'm going to throwback to something Rag brought up which is whether or not the Krampus special ability if in play (if at all).

Looking specifically at the N0 results, both Neon and Arrgh having opposing results on me is telling since, given both Rag and Sky seem poised to be paranoid, Neon ***could*** be insane. The only other player that could possibly be insane, given the results we have right now, is Zinger and that breaks things because if I'm truly sane, then Zinger has to be scum, not santa.

Plus I find it hard to believe that Zinger, as scum, would not eliminate me when I returned a Naughty result on him. Not unless he intentionally left me alive because of Neon/Arrgh (and that itself would beg the question of whether whether one, lone scum player can double kill vs multiple scum being in which means that a scum Zinger with one kill would have to bank on just one player being killed that investigated me vs just killing me).

While circumstantial, I just don't think Zinger is culpable based strictly off results (that and my NLP point was satisfactorily addressed too).

I'm going to throw down on Rag instead if only because Rag doesn't seem too keen on actually solving a puzzle which just may be in the wheelhouse of scum Rag.

Vote: Rag

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:37 pm 
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Final Count:

KoD (1): Rag
Sky (2): Zings, Dark
Zinger (1): Sky
Rag (1): KoD

And so by the slimmest of margins Skystone is eliminated.

It is now night 3. You have 24-48 hours to get in your targets.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 11:09 pm 
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You guys. It's the fourth day. Fourth. And still no pear tree. I'll guess I'll plant them myself and luckily there's plenty of fertilizer abound, what with Fred and Dark being dead.

Also some crazy nutter kept yelling about Black Bart getting his last night. There isn't even a Black Bart here! But Zinger got his though.

By my count (which are pretty good skills if my tracking of the days without pear trees are any indication), that leaves with just Rag and KoD locked in a stale mate. But fret not! This the season for miracles! RNGesus has come to rumble.

You have 48 hours to say your final pieces.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 11:14 pm 
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>run xmas.exe -r -sc
>print "Greetings, Programs, I am RNGesus. I decide who lives and who dies! I will sample the noise in this thread as my random seed in order to determine the true fate of Xmas. Please commence generating seed noise, preferably with arguments as to who may deserve victory."


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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:17 am 
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Well then.

It should be no surprise that I deserve to live. Why? Because Rag usually dies the first day via lynch, but no one chopped Rag because Rag stayed silent so that no one would focus her. Clearly with Rag's lack of effort in trying to find the scum this game (typically town Rag loves to solve puzzles and is more active) this points to Rag not deserving victory.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:19 am 
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Also if Rag says I need to lose because it's me, don't listen to her.

People love me. I'm like the most loveable person you'll ever meet. Just ask anyone who played this game Rag. I'm like best friends with most of them (I'll never be best friends with Dusky because she did me dirty by not reviving me in Zinger's Ability Draft Mafia -- the nerve).

Yet another reason why I deserve victory. Because I'm friendly. Usually.

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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:51 am 
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>User identified: "KingofDominaria"
>Rendering...
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 Post subject: Re: The Last Rumble
PostPosted: Fri Dec 23, 2022 1:37 am 
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i targeted KoD last night with a vig and now he is dead

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