How did he came to that conclusion if no one knows what adds any given person saw before the election or how did they vote?
I mean if the US voters still think Trump is anywhere near being qualified for being president ... you just don't deserve democracy.
Not sure. Haven’t looked into his research to know what details lead him there, just summary of conclusions. However, by the same premise you state, how could one come to the conclusion the effects were catastrophic?
I think most Americans know Trump is the least presidential person to ever hold office by a mile. He’s a walking bag of narcissism and ego. Reality show presidency. MAGA True Believers are a small percent of the roughly half of people who voted for him among the roughly half of voting age people who voted in last presidential election. Scaling down orders of magnitude, if there are 100 people in the country, 77 of them were eligible to vote, 46 voted, 21 voted for Trump, and maybe 5 legit think he’s awesome. Others voted against Hillary for various reasons, some just voted for him to throw a molotov into DC, some single issue voters, some pure partisans, etc.
But the economy is good, which means a lot to people (not just felt by those playing the stock market - owner of plumbing company I use was complaining how he’s having to turn down work because he can’t keep up with demand and no plumbers are applying to his help wanted adds because they’re all employed already - and development happening all around my city for like 2-3 years straight, keeping construction workers employed - etc). Compounding that is Dem primary being dominated by wokeness, which your average person finds exhausting and irritating, and it problematizes the majority demographic in an election system that wants votes from a majority of people (electoral college not withstanding). Not an insignificant number of working class peeps who support traditional leftist ideals (Dirtbag Left, Žižek types) don’t like this New Left that’s focusing less on economic leftism and more on white people are bad and should feel bad, and white men are the literal worst. Percentage of white people who can afford to be vilified politically is relatively low; this is reflected among demographic of woke left, where you see overrepresentation of affluent successful whites and a dearth of working class ones. In America the old idea of left and right as it relates to economics is becoming less relevant - in the last election you had the right wing candidate supporting protectionist policies traditionally supported by leftists (were he had agreement from Sanders, who the DNC sabotaged in the primaries) running against a left wing candidate who supported globalist policies traditionally supported by the right. It’s become more about the culture war.
I’m seeing this as the sort of perfect storm that could easily get Trump a second term, depending on who wins the Democratic nomination and what their strategy is in the lead up to election.