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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:18 pm 
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Day Four

You wake up to find Garren_Windspear, his head a few feet away from him body. After searching his pockets for spare change, you find a crude drawing of a bottle of mayonnaise being poured over the planet.

The greedy fool couldn't resist the temptation of covering literally everything with his favorite condiment.


He was:

Rubik wrote:
Toshiro Hijikata, greed-aligned vice-chief of the Shinsengumi

Image




Living Players: 6

1. Niklor
2. Ragnarokio
4. NeoSilk
5. KoD
6. GobO_Scarlet
7. Zinger2099

Dead Players: 6

8. True_Believer
10. squinty_eyes
3. 15377
9. Silly
12. Fruit
11. Garren_Windspear

Deadline is 10 days from the time of this post.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:23 pm 
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Well then.

At the very least this auto-confirms both Scar and I. Great job Neo.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:30 pm 
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This also confirms Neo (barring him being partners with Garen and throwing Garen under the bus -- always a possibility ya'know).

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:09 am 
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Oh sure, what the hell.

Mod, are you around?

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:11 am 
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Wait, nvm. Found the answer.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:12 am 
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With this I must finally lay to rest my suspicions and accept, with regret, that KoD is Town. This also clears Scar and Neo and puts us squarely in the lead, since toDay is no longer LyLo.

Niklor is most likely the last remaining scum. I would say this with absolute certainty, but given I was so wrong about KoD, we'll, I'm not sure I trust my instincts as much anymore.

Other options, for the sake of being more open minded:
-Neo could, in theory, be scum. However if you NKed your own partner to secure super town pants then GG cuz you've earned a win.
-Rag, could, in theory, have turned on Numbers as a ploy for the same reasons.

Both of those are incredibly unlikely and aren't even worth considering until both Niklor and I are dead (I say and I only for inclusiveness because I know full well that I'm not nearly as "confirmed town" as the others).

KoD and Scar are absolutely Town.

We should Lynch Niklor toDay. If by some slim chance Nik flips Town well then GG scum team cuz you'll have won (presuming scar is NKED, followed by my lynch, followed by KoD NKED, results in neo and Rag being the last alive on Day 6 so scum wins).

The other alternative for town is to lynch me today and lynch nik on day 5. Same outcome.

In theory we've won, unless Neo or Rag is the last remaining scum.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:22 am 
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Hang on...

There is a possibility that Scar is still scum (slim, but i want to consider all positions). He definitely used an ability on KoD which recharged one of KoD's abilities, of that we have confirmation, but we have only scars word that his ability only worked on town players. Scar waz also pretty interested in confirming that KoD was town, which by association definitely liked the two and gave him town pants. And Garren (now confirmed scum) later used his ability on Scar to confirm that Scar hadn't killed anyone.

Could scar be the last scum?


Nah. Occam's razor. Last scum is Niklor.

Besides it was KoD's idea for garren to use his ability to confirm scar as Town.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:26 am 
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Math time.

6 players alive day 4. Assuming we lynch nik and he flips town (considering worst case scenarios here), followed by, say, a Rag NK, day 5 with 4 alive. I'm lynched cuz durh, reasons. Then say KoD is NK. Day 6 rolls around with 2 alive and scum wins.

Alternatively:
We No Lynch (either Day 4 or Day 5) then day 6 is no longer LyLo. We actually gain an extra Day by no lynching one of these days (presuming a NK each night).

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:27 am 
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possible scum is zinger, niklor, and me?

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:27 am 
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niklor seems the safest lynch anyway.

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"That winter, the fireplace was never without a crackling blaze in its belly. The boiled wine we drank was undoubtedly middling and cheap, but she said, with a smile, "I've never had wine this good before." And though I didn't say anything, I felt the same way."


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:30 am 
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Sorry the last paragraph in my previous post should read if we no lynch on day 4 or 5 then day 5 is no longer LyLo. Day 6 would be LyLo instead.

@rag: nik and I are the only real unconfirmed ones at this point. Theoretically, you, neo, and scar could also be scum in some strange remote circumstances where you acted against your team's best interest to gain town pants. But if one of you three did that we'll congrats. You win.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:31 am 
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Nik is the safest lynch.

If Nik flips Town well should vote no lynch on day 5 though, so that day 5 isn't LyLo.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:36 am 
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I'm interested to go back and look for connections between garren and numbers now. Will have to wait till I'm at a computer instead of on my phone. And also not in the middle of the night. Lol

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:38 am 
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Also interesting. The only kill last night was Neo's. Did scum abstain from killing for Wifom or did scum target KoD? KoD should know the answer to this... KoD? Anyone try to kill you last night?

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:44 am 
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I never used my ability to protect myself. Neo made it clear he didn't expect Scar or I (I was mostly focused on me) to be scum so I felt pretty comfy conserving my ability to protect.

It's also why I voiced the idea that Neo may have bused Garen (although a no hit is more likely in my opinion).

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:46 am 
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Votes:

No vote: Ragnarokio, NeoSilk, KoD, GobO_Scarlet (4)
Good joke: Niklor, Zinger2099 (2)


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:49 am 
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Looks like Rag used his ability to vote block up to three people.

Interesting.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:49 am 
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Ha. That's funny.

Good joke Rag.

Though seriously, I approve.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:50 am 
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KoD, glad to hear you still have a protect ability. With you now being 100% confirmed Town and all.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:56 am 
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Vote: Niklor

Haha?

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