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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:38 am 
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15377 wrote:
I understand your stance perfectly. It's your way or the highway. Which is not a good mentality for town to have. You can deny that's the stance you have but as I've offered an alternative to your plan that achieves the same ends without town having to forsake it's main objective and you've continued to ignore it you make it perfectly clear that is your stance. Town's primary objective is to achieve town's win con. That is not your plan. The logic behind not forsaking your win con for a wild goose chase is not hard logic to understand. Since I know you're a smart enough guy to grasp what I'm saying I can only come to the conclusion that it's not that we are not coming across clearly, it's just that you don't want to give up on the game playing out exactly like you want it to. Simply put, you think you know best, but as I've pointed out you can't back that up without crutched arguments and assumptions. And that is just not good enough a reason to forsake the town win con. This is my entire argument in a paragraph. As you can see, discrediting you plays no part in it because the whole point is you don't have credit to begin with.

I have underlined the portions of this statement which make it clear that you do NOT, in fact, understand me perfectly.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:45 am 
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felbatista wrote:
I'll be on a trip until wednesday, and I'm probably not going to be able to post again before the deadline, so this most likely will be my last post today. The Numbers/Tiny debate is interesting, but I can't really take a stance without reading everything again. For now, though, I have to say that Tiny's behavior is now much closer to what I'm used to and that I'm getting scum vibes from Numbers. I'll definetely look closer here if I get the chance next day.

For now, though, I still think the most pressing task for Town is trying to prove Zinger's info, and there's no better way to do that than a lynch. For that matter

Vote: Zinger2099

@Scarlet: We need some action taken regarding Squinty. He's still a no show today.

:wha:

This is an elaborate ploy to have the town target what scum feels is a threat to their win-con.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:51 am 
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Currently it is Day 3 and we have:
6 town to 2 scum

as of Day 4, if we miss-lynch:
4 town to 2 scum

as of Day 5, if we miss-lynch again:
2 town to 2 scum

I don't like those numbers. I'd rather us get to Day 5 and have 4 town to 2 scum remaining, so we can push into Day 6, and if for any reason Town's auto-win option fails to trigger like I've promised, you'll still be ahead of the scum team.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 2:21 pm 
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Hmm, imo, verifying Zinger's alignment doesn't really seem to change how we should proceed if he flips town anyway.

Day 3, now, 8 left.
2 died (Assume Zinger town lynch.)
Day 4, 6 left
1 died (Assume NL)
Day 5, 5 left
1 died (Assume NL)
Day 6, 4 left

Zinger theorized/guessed that mafia's win con involves mafia killing all of town which I am doubtful. The mafia win-cons in my previous games were to make up for half or more of the players which should happen the moment right after night 5 in the above scenario. I don't even know if mafia can have alt win-cons or rather, a different main win-con.

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Zinger2099 wrote:
This is an elaborate ploy to have the town target what scum feels is a threat to their win-con.


I am thinking I know what you are driving at but can you explain this a bit?

While you are at it, mind expanding on the underlined parts mentioned in this bit too?

Zinger2099 wrote:
I have underlined the portions of this statement which make it clear that you do NOT, in fact, understand me perfectly.


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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 3:29 pm 
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Official Vote Count
seTiny
15377

No Lynch
zinger

Zinger2099
felbatista

Deadline: Sunday 15th, 22:00 GMT+1 (+- 24,5 hours)

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 8:37 pm 
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Zinger2099 wrote:
I have underlined the portions of this statement which make it clear that you do NOT, in fact, understand me perfectly.


Kay.

15377 wrote:
It's your way or the highway


Zinger2099 wrote:
If everyone who is Town hops on board with this and forces the issue, we instantly discover who is not Town by view of those who are against it.


So what you're saying is that we instantly discover who is not town by who doesn't go along with your plan, but I'm totally misunderstanding that you're holding the notion that people aren't allowed to disagree with you. Right.

15377 wrote:
achieves the same ends


Zinger2099 wrote:
I'm not proposing we No Lynch the rest of the game away. I'm proposing we No Lynch toDay, because doing so removes the scum team's hope of winning.


You asked for just today to no lynch. Let's crunch numbers (the following assumes 1 NK, mislynches):

Day 3: No lynch; 6-2
Night 3: NK; 5-2
Day 4: Mislynch; 4-2
Night 4: NK; 3-2
Day 5: Mislynch; 2-2
Night 5: NK; 1-2
Day 6 comes to being at 1-2

Day 3: Mislynch; 5-2
Night 3: NK; 4-2
Day 4: Mislynch; 3-2
Night 4: NK; 2-2
Day 5: No lynch; 2-2
Night 5: NK; 1-2
Day 6 comes to being at 1-2

Hey, look at that the numbers are the same! So unless you're saying you lied about what you were asking of the other players then it looks like I do understand.

15377 wrote:
you've continued to ignore it


So, we've established that a Day 5 no lynch would achieve the same ends of reaching Day 6 as a Day 3 no lynch by the premises you've set forth. Given that immediately preceding this you were trying to assert that I didn't understand what you were getting at, it's only too clear that you either had no idea what I was talking about or you didn't even bother to consider what I said. Now given that I know you know how to crunch the numbers, the only conclusion is that you didn't even bother to consider what I said.

15377 wrote:
That is not your plan.


Zinger2099 wrote:
Could I win by chasing down the mallet-players and killing them all? Sure. But I have no idea how many mallet-aligned players there are, or even if this mallet-alignment = mafia, or if it is some other unknown party. It's just easier if I live and let live, so I am ignoring that first clause.


So we see above you clearly state you are ignoring the first clause of your win con, which is the town win con. I could also quote where you said you were less interested in scum hunting than you were simply surviving. Tell me again how you're striving to achieve the town win con. No, your plan, while possibly aiming to achieve a town victory, is not based on achieving the town win con, by your own admission.

15377 wrote:
it's just that you don't want to give up on the game playing out exactly like you want it to.


So far we've established that a Day 5 no lynch achieves the same end as a Day 3 no lynch, which you're in denial about. In turn we can conclude because of this that town can strive to (and possibly may) achieve it's win con before having to fall back on your plans. Yet you're still fufu'ing this notion and you want me to believe it has nothing to do with your own admission that you've chosen to not strive for the town win con.

15377 wrote:
you think you know best


So to recap, you've established a plan to circumvent the town win con, have urged others to follow your plan, have tried to establish the notion that anybody that disagrees with you is automatically scum, yet you want me to believe you don't think you know best. If that were the case, why are you doing so much to discourage anybody from following any other course of action?

15377 wrote:
can't back that up without crutched arguments and assumptions.


This smells like a challenge to me. I say you can't argue your point satisfactorily without relying on any assumptions you've made or your NLP. You say I don't understand. So let's see you make me understand without pulling on any assumptions or your NLP. To be more concise, you'll have to argue why town should opt not to scum hunt based solely on your word, without your NLP to use as evidence that you can't be lying and without the assumption that mafia has to eliminate all town to win. Go forth and logic.

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 9:09 pm 
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Zinger2099 wrote:
felbatista wrote:
I'll be on a trip until wednesday, and I'm probably not going to be able to post again before the deadline, so this most likely will be my last post today. The Numbers/Tiny debate is interesting, but I can't really take a stance without reading everything again. For now, though, I have to say that Tiny's behavior is now much closer to what I'm used to and that I'm getting scum vibes from Numbers. I'll definetely look closer here if I get the chance next day.

For now, though, I still think the most pressing task for Town is trying to prove Zinger's info, and there's no better way to do that than a lynch. For that matter

Vote: Zinger2099

@Scarlet: We need some action taken regarding Squinty. He's still a no show today.

:wha:

This is an elaborate ploy to have the town target what scum feels is a threat to their win-con.


So by that single post, Confused is now scum?

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:16 pm 
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How'd you pull confused into that Story?

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PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:44 pm 
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15377 wrote:
seTiny wrote:
Zinger's no lynch push was never drawing support. You and Fel say clearly that you did not believe in the no lynch at all. I don't think anyone else has stated their opinion on the no lynch.


Except you. Let's not forget you, who started this day supporting a no lynch.


Yes, me. This response was to you questioning my support of his no lynch one which I quoted so why would I need to reiterate what I was quoting? I was saying that you were wrong in claiming Zinger was losing support. He didn't have support in the first place. No where in my response was I denying that I supported Zinger's no lynch. But you seem to want to insinuate otherwise

15377 wrote:

So what I'm seeing here is you claim you aren't mirroring then go on to say exactly why you're mirroring. In the first point you concede that it may be viewable as mirroring. In the second you say you are giving reasons Story's defense is valid (his argument) while giving reasons it's not (my argument). Which is exactly what I said you were doing.



Oh I see you are painting with the broadest strokes possible. Because I said something negative about story and you said something negative about story they must be the same. I gave a reason why no one was going to come forward to say they were targeted. A reason and argument that you had not given. But hey since it was negative towards story and you had said something negative toward story they must be mirror images.

15377 wrote:
Quote:

Hmm. Seems like an argument I made well in advance of yourself, or storyteller. Before my edit I show the hesitation he presented to my questioning, the same hesitation he showed when 15377 asked. So there were 4 people he didn't target Nilkor, Garren, Squinty, and Lilan. I also knew he did not target me because I was ale to get my read. If he would have claimed that his target was untargetable, which would not have been out of the realm of possibility for a character that freezes their target, I would have known he did not target zinger as well. Leaving very few targets of interest, and none that were on his suspicions.


Let's take a look at your day 2 post. First paragraph boils down to "it's possible you're lying". Second paragraph reads "you didn't target a dead person, thus we can conclude that you targeted a living person to either save them or block them. If you give us information we can evaluate your level of townness". This isn't an argument against Story. It's a statement of the obvious followed by some fishing.


If you read the whole quoted post instead of the just the edited down version you would have seen the three of the dead that were not targeted were on his list of suspects, yet not one target. With me also not a target, I could eliminate 5 players. When I read the role of jailkeeper it said that the role can leave the target untargetable and if that had been the case then I could eliminate 6 possible targets. Which left no reasonable target based on his actions and suspicions.

His target information could have helped determined his level of townness. It would also tell us who was roleblocked N1 and could not take an action. Who came forward day 2 saying no no no don't do that? Oh right you did, but then when you got targeted you demanded the same information. Somehow us knowing who storyteller targeted on n2 was going to somehow help the mafia more than it would have town. I didn't believe it then and I don't believe it now. I think you were afraid that the information would help town too much and you couldn't have that.


15377 wrote:

You asked for just today to no lynch. Let's crunch numbers (the following assumes 1 NK, mislynches):

Day 3: No lynch; 6-2
Night 3: NK; 5-2
Day 4: Mislynch; 4-2
Night 4: NK; 3-2
Day 5: Mislynch; 2-2
Night 5: NK; 1-2
Day 6 comes to being at 1-2

Day 3: Mislynch; 5-2
Night 3: NK; 4-2
Day 4: Mislynch; 3-2
Night 4: NK; 2-2
Day 5: No lynch; 2-2
Night 5: NK; 1-2
Day 6 comes to being at 1-2

Hey, look at that the numbers are the same! So unless you're saying you lied about what you were asking of the other players then it looks like I do understand.


Oh look you conveniently overlook his next post where he says he wants to get to day 5 with 4 town and 2 scum. To do that we would need to no lynch today and tomorrow. Something not possible unless we hit scum or no lynch today. Best we would be able to do is 3/2 with a no lynch on day four and five if we mislynch today.

Zinger2099 wrote:
I don't like those numbers. I'd rather us get to Day 5 and have 4 town to 2 scum remaining, so we can push into Day 6, and if for any reason Town's auto-win option fails to trigger like I've promised, you'll still be ahead of the scum team.


Also both your examples show after the lynch on day 5 that mafia and town would be tied. In pick your role mafia this happened and meant the game was over without needing the NK. If this is the case with most mafia games and not a exception we would not get to day 6 in either of your examples.

I am confident that you are scum and I think 3/1 split would on day 5 would also be good. So:

Vote:15377

Zinger2099 wrote:
felbatista wrote:
I'll be on a trip until wednesday, and I'm probably not going to be able to post again before the deadline, so this most likely will be my last post today. The Numbers/Tiny debate is interesting, but I can't really take a stance without reading everything again. For now, though, I have to say that Tiny's behavior is now much closer to what I'm used to and that I'm getting scum vibes from Numbers. I'll definetely look closer here if I get the chance next day.

For now, though, I still think the most pressing task for Town is trying to prove Zinger's info, and there's no better way to do that than a lynch. For that matter

Vote: Zinger2099

@Scarlet: We need some action taken regarding Squinty. He's still a no show today.

:wha:

This is an elaborate ploy to have the town target what scum feels is a threat to their win-con.


So by that single post, Confused is now scum?


@Story: You are quoting zinger quoting felbatista, where do you get confused from?


@Felbatista: A zinger lynch would be a mistake. This would not help us at all. We need to hit scum or no lynch.


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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 12:18 am 
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I believe the scum team is likely 15377 and felbatista at this point.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 2:29 am 
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Zinger2099 wrote:
I believe the scum team is likely 15377 and felbatista at this point.


Less "everybody that disagrees with me is scum" more challenge answering. Seriously, you trying to win worst townie every award this game?

seTiny wrote:
Yes, me. This response was to you questioning my support of his no lynch one which I quoted so why would I need to reiterate what I was quoting? I was saying that you were wrong in claiming Zinger was losing support. He didn't have support in the first place. No where in my response was I denying that I supported Zinger's no lynch. But you seem to want to insinuate otherwise


I didn't claim he was losing support. I claimed he wasn't drawing support. It's my supposition that you jumped on board figuring more people would and when they didn't you jumped off board. Which is exactly what the thread record shows. You see I'm not drawing conclusions out of my ass, I'm drawing conclusions off of what has actually happened.

Quote:
Oh I see you are painting with the broadest strokes possible. Because I said something negative about story and you said something negative about story they must be the same. I gave a reason why no one was going to come forward to say they were targeted. A reason and argument that you had not given. But hey since it was negative towards story and you had said something negative toward story they must be mirror images.


No I'm painting pretty accurate strokes. At no point do you rationalize that Story couldn't have targeted a living player before I do. You rationalize why the dead won't come forward, yes, but the dead are a far cry from the living. For one thing, they can't come forward regardless. But the fact that you're trying to take credit for an argument that you didn't make and can't factually prove you did just shows how desperate you are to stay alive. Town has no desperation. Despite what Zinger says, if either of us die today and flip town, there's room to lynch the other tomorrow. And if the game doesn't end there, we can no lynch into Day 6. So there's no reason for town to feel desperate. I certainly don't. I was ready to die last night. Why aren't you?

Quote:
If you read the whole quoted post instead of the just the edited down version you would have seen the three of the dead that were not targeted were on his list of suspects, yet not one target. With me also not a target, I could eliminate 5 players. When I read the role of jailkeeper it said that the role can leave the target untargetable and if that had been the case then I could eliminate 6 possible targets. Which left no reasonable target based on his actions and suspicions.

His target information could have helped determined his level of townness. It would also tell us who was roleblocked N1 and could not take an action. Who came forward day 2 saying no no no don't do that? Oh right you did, but then when you got targeted you demanded the same information. Somehow us knowing who storyteller targeted on n2 was going to somehow help the mafia more than it would have town. I didn't believe it then and I don't believe it now. I think you were afraid that the information would help town too much and you couldn't have that.


I read the whole thing. None of it was an argument against Story, as you would have us now believe. Furthermore you're trying to attribute that Story's target was unreasonable at this point based on the fact that he didn't target his suspects, yet earlier in the day you claim its quite reasonable to doc yourself if you expect to die, but this also doesn't address the fact that it's quite reasonable to doc anybody you find townly during the course of the day, which is not something you address in your post. You simply fish.

As for why my fishing was more justified than yours, I had actual information about Story's role. I knew how it functioned and fishing for his N1 target could then actually give us a better picture of the game state. You had no such information. You were simply fishing for fishing's sake. There's a time and a place for fishing, and it wasn't when you were digging nor was it the right spot you were digging in.


Quote:
Oh look you conveniently overlook his next post where he says he wants to get to day 5 with 4 town and 2 scum. To do that we would need to no lynch today and tomorrow. Something not possible unless we hit scum or no lynch today. Best we would be able to do is 3/2 with a no lynch on day four and five if we mislynch today.


Oh look, you conviently overlook where I made this argument originally after he said he only wanted to no lynch today to secure mafia's loss. I pointed out that, by his own logic, no lynching today wasn't necessary. That point still holds true if we take his premises to be true. The fact that he's now stating he'd like town to be in better shape is completely irrelevant because, by his own premises, it's always going to be irrelevant. The only point at which it's not irrelevant is if you invalidate the premise that mafia has to eliminate the entire town to win. In which case we would need to no lynch from here to the rest of the game (assuming an auto win day 6) to keep mafia from getting to that even number of players situation that normally constitutes their win con, which is something he openly admitted to not advocating. This was my whole point: we can either strive for the town's actual win con, or we can forsake it for something that may or may not happen the way we expect it to.
Better luck slandering next time. /tipshat

Quote:
Also both your examples show after the lynch on day 5 that mafia and town would be tied. In pick your role mafia this happened and meant the game was over without needing the NK. If this is the case with most mafia games and not a exception we would not get to day 6 in either of your examples.


As I said, that argument was made based on the premises that Zinger is working from, the most important being that mafia need to eliminate all town players to win. This is a major assumption on his part and a major risk to following his plan. This is why I advocate striving to eliminate all mallet aligned players via the town's actual win con, which is only achievable by actually lynching people.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 2:45 am 
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15377 wrote:
How'd you pull confused into that Story?


I don't know. I'm obviously confused as to who's who right now.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:10 am 
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According to Zinger, the supposed auto win-con shouldn't involve him anyway, and it's been repeatedly proven that no lynching toDay or Tomorrow or even the Day after would all result in the same effective outcome.
So I don't see why he could be so desperate for us to no lynch today.
Added to my suspicions from before, which I only dropped because I thought Numbers was cop, but since he wasn't...

Vote Zinger

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:18 am 
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Weaksauce Story. Truly weaksauce.

Zinger is by far the least likely person we should be lynching today. Bad plays do not make good lynches. 95% of the time you'll mislynch. By my count we have a little less than 5 hours to deadline, so today is probably going to be decided on just those two votes. If perchance somebody else gets their ass in here in time and throws a vote either on me or no lynch, I'll break the tie.

Naturally, of course, if Zinger votes back down or some other wagon just comes out of the last minute blue, this won't be necessary.

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:03 pm 
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:20 pm 
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Deadline is questionable, but just in case

Unvote. Vote: 15377

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PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:44 pm 
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I've been pretty strict on deadlines so far. The last 2 votes were too late.

Official Vote Count
seTiny
15377

No Lynch
zinger

Zinger2099
felbatista
storyteller

15377
seTiny



With so few events during the past night discussion comes to a stop mostly. A few people try to continue the search, unfazed by their earlier victory.
At the end of the day, zinger2099 is given the verdict to be sent to Higan.
The gang comes together to blast him away and as his soul comes before the Yama, her voice once again rings in your ears.
"You have gotten rid of Sukuna Shinmyoumaru. Her intentions were pure."

As the sun sets you once again seek the shelter of your homes.


It is now night 3. 72 hours to send in your targets :)

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PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 1:55 pm 
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Sorry for the delay people. Had a real rush at work this past week.

No flavor text this time.

15377 is dead,Marisa Kirisame, Gensokyo aligned

It is now day 4. You know the drill. 10 days.

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PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 8:26 pm 
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Well, figures that would happen.
So, we know now that Zinger was town, so the D6 is more likely to be true.
Going for the autowin of course relies on squinty not being mafia, and mafia not having another power.
Also with the recent revelations, I'd guess Numbers was right about SeTiny being scum.
A bit late but I can kinda see why Zinger wanted to no lynch yesterDay.
It becomes a lot bigger risk to pursue the autowin this way.

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PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 10:27 pm 
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Well, figures that would happen.
So, we know now that Zinger was town, so the D6 is more likely to be true.


The autowin is dead. You and Felbatista killed him. Going for the auto win at this point would only give the mafia the win. Two NK will put us at 2/2 and we probably lose.

Zinger was an inchling. Only an inchling can active the mallet which needed 5 days to recharge (again in the opening day post) which would make it viable to undo the current wish. Also Zinger said he needed to be alive for his ability to trigger on Day 6 (emphasis mine).
Zinger2099 wrote:
You want to know my wincon? Is that it?

All mallet-aligned players dead, or my ability triggers.

My ability will only trigger if I am alive at the end of the game.


It was clear Zinger was town and the auto win had to do with him being alive. I knew that he was an inchling from N1 target and tried to get the point across many times without outright saying it. Putting it fully out there meant that he would have been targeted by mafia. This is also why I thought 15377 was mafia because he would have been able to steal the mallet and stop zinger's ability.

It was after I mentioned the mallet that Storyteller was suspicious of Zinger again.

Also, I totally forgot about the flavor with the mallet. It sounds more like town will be screwed if we let it last too long. What says you to that, Mr. No Lynch for the auto win?


Even after he was outright told that Zinger was town .

15377 wrote:
@Story: On your suspicion of Zinger, I believe it's unfounded. As I've said previously on his NLP, it's definitely crafted in a way for him to be deceptive, but he's bound from telling outright lies. With that in mind, we have Zinger claiming the town win con (in addition to his other one). Now Neo didn't seem to recognize this, which would indicate to me that scum didn't know how it was worded. This further indicates that even if Zinger wanted to crush his NLP this game with an outright lie, I don't think he possibly could have. Zinger being town is something that you can "take to the bank" as they say. This, however, does not mean that he has been playing towards town's best interests though, at least from a lay town perspective.


AND that is was a bad idea to vote for Zinger he continued to be suspicious of Zinger

seTiny wrote:
@Felbatista: A zinger lynch would be a mistake. This would not help us at all. We need to hit scum or no lynch.


Storyteller then voted for Zinger Saying:

According to Zinger, the supposed auto win-con shouldn't involve him anyway, and it's been repeatedly proven that no lynching toDay or Tomorrow or even the Day after would all result in the same effective outcome.
So I don't see why he could be so desperate for us to no lynch today.


First of all as I showed earlier in this post Zinger explicitly said that he had to be alive at the end of the game. Second Zinger said he wanted to get to day 5 with a 4/2 split which is what showed the difference between no lynch yesterday and no lynch today. So it is quite obvious why he was so desperate for the no lynch yesterday.

Which I pointed out before storyteller voted in my debate with 15377:
seTiny wrote:
Oh look you conveniently overlook his next post where he says he wants to get to day 5 with 4 town and 2 scum. To do that we would need to no lynch today and tomorrow. Something not possible unless we hit scum or no lynch today. Best we would be able to do is 3/2 with a no lynch on day four and five if we mislynch today.



I think instead he realizes what Zinger was and how the auto win would work. So he claimed Zinger to be suspicious and pushed for a zinger lynch even after being told it was a bad idea.

Also with the recent revelations, I'd guess Numbers was right about SeTiny being scum.


So this is why 15377 died? So scum can push a lynch against me putting us at 3/2. Then with a NK they win (2/2). We cannot mislynch today.

Just because 15377 flipped town (I really thought he was scum), does not automatically mean I am scum. I am town. If I was scum I would have killed Zinger N2 stopping any chance of the autowin not support it. Nor would I put the spotlight on myself by killing 15377.


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