Sadly no. But now I have a new goal in trolling my chaos draft group!

You actually want to run 42 forests.

I can't remember why, but it was some theory crafting thing.

Thought Scour?

And that was more like a sideboard plan,if I remember right.

I'm a sucker for premium removal (not worried about finding 20 damage), I'll take the Banishing Light!

IIRC, sideboarding against that deck was to play 50 cards, and deck them naturally. Problem was if they boarded into a normal deck. The worst were those that won game one, and then boarded into the 39-Forest deck. Almost never failed.

The lost in the woods was generally a sideboard plan for matches you knew you weren't going to win with your normal deck, not a maindeck.

If you saw your opponent go and grab 20 more lands wouldn't you board in disenchants?

Ah, you paper players. You have it so easy

It's an interesting question, that's for sure. I would say either pick could be justified and that's what I'm looking for, reasons to make picks.

By chance where do you Chaos Draft?

We do them on our own, but we usually originate at Montasy Comics. Montasy does a chaos sealed at the end of each format too that's usually pretty fun.

Next question:

Wingstead Rider or Akroan Skyguard? Which is the better card to have in a heroic deck? Possible extensions could be, is one better in R/W as opposed to B/W, etc.

Discuss...

Skyguard is better on T2. Wingsteed is better on every turn after T2.

It also depends on how all-in you are on heroic. I would play wingsteed in a deck with no heroic enablers whatsoever.

Hmmm. The question is sort of moot because there are almost no situations in limited where you would play one and not the other.
Obviously you have to have a critical mass of targeting spells to play skyguard, but this number is pretty low, like 5 or 6. Rider is a hard-to-cast wind drake with an upside so if you can cast it you will play it.

Generally, Wingsteed Rider is always better in decks with 10+ plains. In fact, according to Frank Karstens' hypergeometric calculations, you actually want 13 white sources to have a 90% chance of casting rider on turn 3 (and 9! for a 90% chance of casting Skyguard on 2). It's extremely difficult to draft or put together a sealed deck that it this consistent, however.

I would not want to run Wingsteed rider in a deck with <7 plains, and 7 seems quite dicey. It would depend on what you are bringing in instead.

In a vacuum, Wingsteed is way better. But the question was about a heroic deck.

I'll play all Skyguards and Wingsteeds I can get in any Wx heroic deck.

In RW, Skyguard is better. You really want a turn-one and turn-two growing heroes in that deck. By turn three, you need to start using tricks to get them through. And the casting cost on Wingsteed can be a problem, especially if you have some Dragon Mantles you want to cast early.

In UW, it's another matter. The two-drop of choice there is Battlewise Hoplite. That deck is more controlling, so an aggressive start is not essential.

I love Frank Carsten, but 90%? What about mulligans? Card draw and scry? The problem with Wingsteed is not that you need , you often want a in reserve for a Gods Willing. Anyway, I'm happy to play Wingsteeds with nine plains.

Sorry - It's simulated not just the hypergeometic calc. including mulligans. Not including draw+scry. I think a scry effect is like 1/3rd of a source. Cantrip is probably 1/2 a source.

Obviously everyone plays good CC1 cards with only 9 sources in limited. One of the reasons limited decks are as consistent as constructed ones.

If you have ~10 white sources, shouldn't a cantrip or scry be at most 1/4 of a source?

That is a good point, I think I did not cut the sources in 1/2. I was thinking in terms of just getting a land drop.