You're assuming to know how the night kill for mafia works.
Something I made an argument for for clearing Scar, but was argued against by Zinger.
If you go by the method you are explaining, then Garen couldn't have killed during Night 2. Garen had claimed to have role block Fruit that night which means he used up his night ability for that night. What you are saying asserts that (and this is treading again into the unknown functions of the mafia night kill) that each mafia member who has the ability to do other things also has the ability to kill
AND can do so despite their use of another ability.
What that means: It means that after the first night mafia could have all just used their ability to kill resulting in not just the one death that Numbers claimed, but also two other victims. Obviously that wasn't the case, and the best reason to explain that is because the mafia either has one night kill to use (like normal) or all of their abilities to night kill are restricted to only one use per night.
As it stands there is no reason to assume that each member of the mafia has the ability to kill. Why?
Because you can look at all the claims made thus far. Of all the claims made: Garen claimed an ability to kill, I (recently) have claimed an ability to kill, and you have claimed an ability to kill.
No one else has claimed an ability to kill. So that means either people are lying (to fit your theory that each mafia member has an ability to kill), or it means that people have claimed their roles truthfully and those that don't have the ability to kill are likely town (again to fit with your theory that each member of the mafia has the ability to kill).
Now here is a fun fact:
Numbers obviously killed SE the first night. So, going with your theory, Numbers has used up his ability.
Second night Silly dies. No one came forth to claim that death.
Third night Garen died due to your ability (he was the only death).
Obviously someone killed Silly due to Silly using his ability that redirected all kill attempts to himself (likely redirecting the mafia night kill to him as opposed to someone like Rag even though Rag was protected). Whoever this person was (to fit your theory) doesn't have the ability to kill again (assuming they are mafia).
Garen used an ability to kill someone that has killed a player, and it didn't effect Scar meaning Scar has not killed yet. Also, note that Garen ***used an ability to kill***. Garen was scum. As per your theory was this Garen's kill ability? Are we going to maintain that Garen had two different kill abilities (obv Scar didn't kill Silly so did Garen both block Fruit and use a night kill ability that would bypass the rules allowing him to also kill Silly)? Or if we go with the idea Garen didn't kill Silly, then why didn't Garen kill anyone last night?
As you can see this is getting convoluted.
Also do make note that I am the one who directed Garen to use his ability on Scar. The reasoning behind that was based on assuming how hte night kill for the mafia works (much the same way you are assuming how it works). My assumption was that the mafia night kill acts like an ability use so a person who makes the mafia night kill can't use any other abilities (any of the mafia players can make the kill). To that end, I directed Garen to use his ability on Scar because had used an ability last night that failed to target due to Rag's ability. Garen obliged and used his ability on Scar only to find that Scar had not killed anyone.
Focusing on the idea that the mafia night kill is like an ability that mafia can use each night (like a standard night kill), the only players who had not used an ability during N2 would have been you.
Garen claimed to role block Fruit.
Zinger and I targeted Rag with abilities.
Rag used an ability to protect himself.
Scar used an ability on me.
Niklor used an ability to prevent himself from being targeted N2.
So yes, as it stands out of everyone you're the only player who didn't make an action N2 leaving open the possibility that you are the one who killed Silly (if we go by how I assume the mafia night kill works).
However, if the mafia night kill works like a combination of our two assumptions (that is, that it is not an ability like our role abilities -- allowing it to bypass the rules of ability usage -- and it functions like a normal night kill -- only one person makes the kill as designated by the mafia), then anyone could have made the kill. I could have, Rag could have, Scar, etc etc.
Obviously this is not helpful.
So let's go back to the approach of reviewing actions.
Rag got Numbers lynched. Townie points.
Niklor restarted the lynch on Numbers. Townie points.
I lied about preventing Numbers's lynch. Negative points.
Scar claims to have used an ability that yielded a town result on me. Mixed points.
Neo claimed an ability that allowed him to kill scum or die if he targets town. Killed scum Garen, but was the only kill that night. Mixed points.
Let's recap the negative points.
I lied about protecting Numbers from being lynched. That earned me considerable ire from practically all players (in varying degrees). Case in point: Some (like Zinger) outright wanted me lynched others (like Rag) voiced the idea that town make mistakes like that so it's likely he's not scum and a few (specifically just you Neo) noted how what I did was anti-town without going much further into detail. Niklor came around and even mentioned how he was definitely suspicious of me because of my actions, but then Scar's reveal gave pause to the whole situation.
So let's move to the mixed points starting with Scar.
First and foremost the circumstances revolving around Scar's ability use. Scar indicated early enough in the game (make note of that) that he could investigate someone. He was unsuccessful in drawing night kills to get rid of his potential investigation ability. He originally intended to use his ability to find out whether Numbers was scum or not, but Numbers was lynched (due to having killed SE). Immediately after this (going into the night) it became apparent I lied to try and protect Numbers, but to what end? From Scar's perspective, because of how scummy I was, I made the perfect target for his investigation ability. It either didn't work and I never made mention of it (thus making me scum in Scar's eyes) or it worked and I make mention of it at some point thereby confirming to Scar that I am town. Immediately at the start of the next day I came forth right away and claimed my role. In the course of claiming my role (note I was the first post of that day before anyone else) I claimed several things: that I tried to protect Rag and it failed (as indicated later by Rag due to an ability he used) and that one of my abilities had gained an additional charge for use. Upon claiming that I had received a charge from my ability (note that I am not viewed favorably due to having lied) Scar speaks up openly (no longer affected by his posting restriction) and asks me to clarify the circumstances under which I gained this additional charge. Upon doing so Scar ***openly*** claimed to everyone that I am town due to an ability he had.
So, up till now what happened in a short summary? I lied making me look like bad scum. Scar openly claims, due to an ability, that I am town. What all of this means, as indicated the previous day, is that Scar and I are now linked. A scum Scar (and this was how it was argued yesterday) either was taking a gamble to save scum KoD or a town Scar was copping KoD to best make use of his investigation ability to find out whether KoD was scum or town. Part of all the arguments yesterday was that a scum Scar
would not have motivation to speak up and try to clear scum KoD because of how much heat scum KoD had on him. Add to that, that in claiming all this Scar also claimed to be vanilla. So a different approach was thought up: Rather than lynch KoD (who claimed to have an extra charge on his ability to protect tonight) we could lynch Scar instead due to Scar being vanilla. Scar turns up scum, KoD is scum. Scar turns up town, KoD is town. Obviously I was opposed to this and Scar was too. Scar, instead, would much rather be killed tonight by a vig (at this point Neo had claimed an ability to kill scum or die trying). So Scar was all too happy to have Neo use his ability on her (and when it comes right down to it Scar would have been the target had Niklor not used his concert ability allowing us to continue talking into the night at which point Neo changed his mind).************ (This is important enough for me to come back to later when speaking about Neo.)
In summary: Given how much heat KoD had, a scum Scar would have no motivation to try and protect scum KoD (but this was argued against by Zinger due to a possible gamble being taken by the scum team of KoD/Scar). Garen's death disproves the possibility of a KoD/Scar team. Now the point of contention (as brought up by Neo and Niklor and even you Rag) is that Scar is possibly scum due to trying to gain town pants ***in the previously mentioned situation that was filled with danger for scum Scar in the first place***. Zinger's argument that a scum Scar would take that gamble to protect a scum KoD I could understand (even a little) despite how Scar plays this game. It was at least within the realm of possibility. But now the argument is that a scum Scar spoke up to protect KoD (known town)
despite the fact that scum Scar claimed to be vanilla and was debated as the lynch candidate for a while and (on his own) requested to be night killed by Neo. All for gaining town pants?
At this point that situation is just fabricated to fit what happened despite how complex the situation is. That makes it extremely unlikely (unlikely like Rag using his vote block to throw Numbers under the bus so hard that it ended up wrecking the bus).
Let's cover the mixed points in regard to Neo because it isn't as complex.
Neo claimed an ability to kill scum or die from targeting town yesterday. He eventually claimed his entire role and never indicated using any of his abilities. He even indicated, prior to the day ending, that he ended to target Scar if Fruit flipped town. Fruit flipped town. Due to Niklor's concert we were able to continue talking. Zinger, at this point, contested the idea he was ok with (that Neo stick to his commitment to target Scar if Fruit flipped town). Zinger argued all of the WIFOM that could happen from Neo indicating exactly who he targeted, and he suggested that Neo just pick (from two people) but not say who he picked. Neo picks Garen (telling us after deadline) and Garen ends up dead and as the only kill. This means either Neo is truthful and is town, or he bused his partner by using him to "confirm" his townieness.
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There are 3 situations the way I see it:
1.) Scar is scum.
2.) Neo is scum.
3.) Niklor is scum.
Each situation carries with it its own complexity. Scar's situation is by far the most complex and therefore the least likely as far as I am concerned (you have to make a lot of jumps -- such as scum Scar confirm town KoD for the sake of gaining town pants despite the entire situation -- to arrive at the conclusion that Scar is scum). Neo's is less complex (and therefore more likely) than Scar's, but it does require assumptions nonetheless -- assumptions like Garen was the only kill because Neo used the mafia NK to kill Garen to confirm himself. Niklor's situation is by far the least complex compared to the rest. As Zinger made mention of, he worked on the idea that I and Scar had to be the remaining scum. If not us, then the remaining scum (from his eyes) had to be Niklor/Garen. Upon Garen's death, this confirmed to Zinger that KoD/Scar was impossible for a scum team and forced him to look at the idea of Niklor being scum.
So what it all comes down to is whether or not Niklor dies as scum today.
So at this point I'm going to go on record for voting to end day early.
I vote to end today earlyA majority of us seem inclined to lynch Niklor. So either Niklor dies as scum (game ends) or he dies as town. If he dies as town, I will most likely be dead leaving Rag, Scar, and Neo to find out who the remaining scum is.
And as I've maintained, Neo's situation is far less complex compared to Scar's (and again if Scar really wanted to confirm himself he could have night killed me last night as opposed to a no hit happening -- or perhaps it truly was Neo using the night kill on Garen to confirm himself).
At this point that's all I've got so this will be my last post for today. My points are clear as is my stance on what is important. My vote will stay on Niklor as will my intent to vote to end day early. Feel free to discuss as much as you wish and when you're ready to end day early (if at all) you can do so with my consent.