The key here is that an authentically town-aligned player would be compelled by self-interest to examine all of their compatriots. The Anti-Rag vote only coalesced at the end of the day in an effort to divert the lynch from a player with (to us) strong town vibes, and Naga was a broadly tolerable option for a mid-game lynch that ought to have had some appeal to legitimate town. Ergo, the Rag wagon initially provided a safe harbor in that it a) seemed to reflect a consensus, and b) provided a relatively safe place for scum to drop their votes.
You can believe that your vote was right at the time without also presuming that the circumstances leading to the lynch ought not to be examined. On the contrary, it is the basic duty of town to examine all circumstances and motivations, and it is in fact the perfidious badge of scum to fail in this most sacred of concerns.
You want to intimidate and misdirect with verbage. So, I'm going to break down the attempt to obfuscate the situation into a few points
- Your Point #1: A townie should examine all players with suspicion
Basic, true. But a player must also form and eventually pursue opinions.
- Your Point #2: The rag alternate appeared at EoD
- Your point #3: The alternate of lynching naga appeared when it did because those who voted for it felt Rag had strong town vibes
- Your Point #4: Naga should have been a tolerable lynch that day
- Your conclusion from this:Townies should have voted Naga
When a counter-wagon to divert lynch shows up right at the end, it's kind of sus. But let's put that normal situation aside from the moment: there is little reason for a town member who believed Rag to be scum to swap to Naga over Rag. We all kind of assume that the inactives are town at this point, I feel. After all, scum are still getting their hits in, so they're not BOTH inactive at the very least. I even argued yesterday that Naga alive was basically negative utility, but your own arguments today have suggested how that thinking may have been flawed: Living or modkilled, Naga is the same burden, it only matters how close the game APPEARS to be to the end. To this, a townie with no conviction votes Naga yesterday. A townie with any conviction that they may have found scum votes scum.
- Your Point #5: Rag lynch was "safe" for Scum
I feel this is quite incorrect. Scum would know that Rag would flip town, and also that they would be functionally obligated to kill Zinger (a rag voter) in order to keep the suspect list open. That leaves three votes on rag. You propose Scum would hide two of them to one "safe lynch" in such a situation? I don't think so. The safer place would be out of that wagon one way or another -- scum looking to be safe want to Nader vote. And wouldn't you know it, the Naga counter-wagon showed up after discussion had largely zeroed in on Rag, so the outcome would be largely known. And who voted for that? Rag himself, of course -- Rag would want to live. And you and CL, buddies suddenly moving in step together. You jumped for a wagon that was broadly acceptable and not particularly indicative of anything. True, removing a lurker removes a mostly dead player, but it was fairly reasonable to expect, when the Naga wagon formed, that it wouldn't actually fire. If it did, it's a much safer wagon than Rag to be on. We all would have expected Naga to flip town, and townies would still be happy with his demise. And no doubt the Rag/KoD fight would resume the following day. If it didn't, you sit there and point and say "An active townie has been lynched, it must be scum that did it." Three candidates, but it's a shell game: the ball is in the con-man's palm the whole time.
Considering what appears to be (with a town read on KoD as I have) a confirmation of Zinger's suspicion that I had previously found absurd, that kicking off the fight from the sidelines was the goal of going for amber in particular, I find it much more likely that active scum would read the discussion and quickly adopt a non-confrontational vote position.
- Your point #6: You accuse that I wish to bury analysis of the Rag lynch
To the contrary: I gave an account of myself, against your prior accusation of disinterest in doing so. Rather, I say, my stance is clear and you need only look back over the evidence. I'm not changing my tune now, I'm saying that I feel I made myself clear then, and gave a summary. Town can take their own conclusions.